Niall Taggart (Queen’s University Belfast)
Abstract:
Functor calculus refers to a family of homotopy-theoretic frameworks that extend the ideas of differential calculus into categorical settings. Existing forms of functor calculus have proved remarkably useful, with applications ranging from algebraic $K$-theory to a variety of geometric problems. Their ubiquity suggests that it is worthwhile to search for new versions of functor calculus.Recent work of Bandklayder, Bergner, Griffiths, Johnson, and Santhanam examines the homotopy theory encoded in the degree $n$ approximations of Goodwillie calculus and discrete calculus. In each case, they identify (or in the case of discrete calculus, construct) a model structure that captures the relevant homotopical data and is controlled by a prescribed collection of test morphisms. By exploiting these test morphisms, they show that the resulting model category is cofibrantly generated, giving an explicit description of the generating acyclic cofibrations.In this talk, I will describe the observation that these model structures can always be realised as left Bousfield localizations with respect to the corresponding sets of test morphisms. This viewpoint naturally suggests defining new calculi directly from chosen test morphisms. I will explain that such a ``tested\'\' calculus exists provided a certain technical condition on the test morphisms is satisfied, and then show how this condition can be reformulated in far more familiar terms, namely, that a degree $n$ functor automatically satisfies the conditions of being degree $n+1$. (The latter aspect of this talk is joint work-in-progress with Julie Bergner, Brenda Johnson, Rhiannon Griffiths and Rekha Santhanam.)
Sylvain Crovisier (Université Paris-Saclay)
Ergodic theory of surface diffeomorphisms
10:15 • ETH Zentrum, Rämistrasse 101, Zürich, Building HG, Room G 43
Riccardo Grieco (Universität Basel)
Abstract:
Abstract The incompressible Navier-Stokes equations govern the motion of viscous fluids and remain a challenging open problem in modern mathematics. While global regularity in three dimensions is still unresolved, a partial result, derived by Caffarelli, Kohn and Nirenberg (1982), provides a quantitative description of where singularities may occur. In particular, a dimensional bound on the singular set was obtained. In this talk, we introduce the framework of suitable weak solutions, a localized refinement of the classical Leray-Hopf theory, and present the idea of deriving the statement by Caffarelli, Kohn and Nirenberg: the singular set S of any suitable weak solution satisfies dim H (S) <= 1 and even P¹(S) = 0. The proof combines parabolic scaling, local energy inequalities and a scale-invariant ?-regularity mechanism. We further briefly address the sharpness of this bound.
12:15 • Universität Basel, Seminarraum 05.001, Spiegelgasse 5
Jasmin Jörg (UNIBE)
Title T.B.A.
14:15 • Université de Genève, Conseil Général 7-9, Room 1-15
Iordanis Romaidis
Finiteness properties in skein theory abstract
Abstract:
For a reductive group G and a quantum parameter q, skein theory assigns skein algebras to surfaces and skein modules to 3-manifolds. Skein modules of closed 3-manifolds at generic q were conjectured by Witten to be finite-dimensional - a statement later proved by Gunningham, Jordan, and Safronov. In this talk, I will present joint work with David Jordan on a generalization of this conjecture to 3-manifolds with boundary. In this setting, the finiteness property is replaced by the condition that the skein module is holonomic over the boundary skein algebra. We prove holonomicity for skein modules of GL2 and SL2 by constructing transfer bimodules, and proving holonomicity preservation theorems analogous to those in the classical theory of D-modules. If time permits, I will also discuss applications of holonomicity to finiteness of further skein-theoretic constructions.
14:15 • EPF Lausanne
Max Welz (Universität Zürich)
Robust estimation and inference for categorical data (with an application to structural equation models) abstract
Abstract:
Empirical research in the social, health, and economic sciences is often based on categorical variables, such as questionnaire responses, self-reported health, or counting processes. Yet, just like in continuous variables, contamination might be present in such data, for instance (but not limited to) careless responses, which can cause severe biases in the commonly employed maximum likelihood estimation. However, robustifying estimation against contamination is challenging because categorical variables, by their very nature, cannot take arbitrarily large values and may not even admit a numerical interpretation in the first place. Consequently, the extensive literature on outlier-robust M-estimation may not be applicable.As a remedy, we propose a general framework for robust estimation and inference of models for categorical data, called C-estimation ("C" for categorical; Welz, 2024). In addition to offering enhanced robustness, we show that C-estimators are asymptotically consistent, normally distributed, and fully efficient. The latter property starkly contrasts M-estimation, which is characterized by a fundamental tradeoff between robustness and efficiency. C-estimators avoid this tradeoff by exploiting the categorical nature of the data. Furthermore, C-estimators do not incur any additional computational cost and are therefore also attractive from a practical perspective.This talk aims to strike a balance between theoretical aspects of C-estimators and an application thereof to psychometric structural equation models (SEMs) with ordinal measurements. We show that using a robustly estimated polychoric correlation Matrix (Welz, Mair & Alfons, 2025+) for SEM estimation can substantially improve SEM fit, enhance the accuracy of parameter estimates, and help identify low-quality responses (such as careless responses). Furthermore, the proposed approach is very general because it does not necessitate any adjustments to the SEM itself and it can be used in conjunction with any method for SEM fitting, such as maximum likelihood, least-squares-based approaches like Diagonally Weighted Least Squares (DWLS), or Bayesian techniques. Our proposed procedure is implemented in the free open-source R package "robcat" (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=robcat), whose source is written in fast and efficient C++ code. REFERENCES:- Welz, M. (2024). Robust estimation and inference for categorical data [arXiv:2403.11954]. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2403.11954- Welz, M., Mair, P., & Alfons, A. (2025+). Robust estimation of polychoric correlation. Psychometrika, https://doi.org/10.1017/psy.2025.10066
16:15 • ETH Zentrum, Rämistrasse 101, Zürich, Building HG , Room G 19.1
José Andrés Rodríguez Migueles (CIMAT)
On the existence of universal links in three-manifolds
Prof. Dr. Felix Matthys (ITAM Business School)
Beyond Carbon Pricing: Integrating Mitigation, Adaptation, and Carbon Removal abstract
Abstract:
Relying solely on carbon pricing to meet Paris Agreement targets imposes prohibitive economic costs. We show that achieving the 2 ˝C stabilization goal through taxation alone requires carbon prices reaching approximately $474/tCO 2 , a level that triggers widespread capital divestment. To resolve this dilemma, we develop a dynamic stochastic integrated assessment model that optimizes a portfolio of carbon taxation, clean-capital subsidies, adaptation investment, and carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Our analysis identifies CDR as a necessary condition for stabilization rather than a supplementary measure. In the optimal portfolio, net carbon removal scales from 0.04 to 3.7 GtCO 2 /year by 2050 to maintain temperature targets at a feasible cost. These instruments act as economic complements: carbon pricing and subsidies target new emissions, CDR reduces the legacy atmospheric stock, and adaptation protects the economic base from immediate damages. Consequently, the welfare gains from the integrated portfolio significantly exceed the sum of individual instrument effects. We conclude that optimal climate policy requires shifting from a price-centric framework to a diversified approach in which carbon removal and adaptation serve as core pillars of decarbonization.
17:15 • ETH Zentrum, Rämistrasse 101, Zürich, Building HG, Room G 43